The Packers will have the 26th pick in the upcoming April draft.
The four divisional-round playoff losers are slotted for the 25th through 28th picks based on reverse order of regular-season records. So the Broncos (13-3) will pick 28th and the Texans (12-4) are 27th.
The Packers and Seahawks both finished 11-5, and the tiebreaker for the draft order is strength of schedule. Green Bay’s strength of schedule — the collective winning percentage of all of a team’s opponents — in 2012 (.508) was slightly better than Seattle’s (.504), so the Seahawks will pick 25th, one spot ahead of the Packers at 26th.
The fact that the Seahawks won the head-to-head meeting with the Packers in the regular season had no bearing on the tiebreaker. The head-to-head result only would have come into play had the two teams’ strength of schedules been equal.
The same tiebreaker was used for the draft order of the losing teams in the wild-card round. The wild-card losers are slotted for the 21st through 24th picks. Indianapolis had the best regular-season record at 11-5 and will pick 24th. The other three teams — Cincinnati, Washington and Minnesota — were all 10-6. The Bengals had the worst strength of schedule (.438) and will pick 21st. Washington (.494) is next at 22nd (though the pick is owned by St. Louis via last year’s draft trade), followed by Minnesota (.520) at 23rd.
Much like the Green Bay-Seattle situation, Washington’s regular-season win over Minnesota had no bearing on the tiebreaker. Strength of schedule broke it.
Regarding the rest of the NFC North, Detroit (4-12) will pick fifth and Chicago (10-6) will pick 20th. The Bears had the best record of the 20 teams that did not qualify for the postseason and therefore will get the 20th pick.
Tags: draft, tiebreaker
Posted in Packers.com Blog